ISSN 1004-4140
CN 11-3017/P
田江雨, 谭志巍. CT预测甲状腺微小乳头状癌中央区淋巴结转移价值[J]. CT理论与应用研究, 2023, 32(1): 90-96. DOI: 10.15953/j.1004-4140-2023.32.01.10.
引用本文: 田江雨, 谭志巍. CT预测甲状腺微小乳头状癌中央区淋巴结转移价值[J]. CT理论与应用研究, 2023, 32(1): 90-96. DOI: 10.15953/j.1004-4140-2023.32.01.10.
TIAN J Y, TAN Z W. Evaluation of CT in Predicting Central Lymph Node Metastasis of Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinoma[J]. CT Theory and Applications, 2023, 32(1): 90-96. DOI: 10.15953/j.1004-4140-2023.32.01.10. (in Chinese).
Citation: TIAN J Y, TAN Z W. Evaluation of CT in Predicting Central Lymph Node Metastasis of Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinoma[J]. CT Theory and Applications, 2023, 32(1): 90-96. DOI: 10.15953/j.1004-4140-2023.32.01.10. (in Chinese).

CT预测甲状腺微小乳头状癌中央区淋巴结转移价值

Evaluation of CT in Predicting Central Lymph Node Metastasis of Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinoma

  • 摘要: 目的:明确CT在预测甲状腺微小乳头状癌(PTMC)中央区淋巴结转移(CLNM)中的价值。方法:选取成都市第三人民医院157例经病理证实的PTMC患者,回顾分析患者的CT及临床病理资料,受试者工作特征曲线(ROC曲线)得出PTMC长径预测CLNM的最佳截断值,通过CT及临床病理资料建立PTMC CLNM的二元logistic回归模型,并通过ROC曲线评价模型的诊断价值。结果:ROC曲线得出预测PTMC CLNM的最佳截断值为6 mm;单因素分析:咬饼征、微钙化、多灶癌、PTMC长径≥6 mm、男性、年龄<45岁是PTMC CLNM的危险因素;二元Logistic回归分析:咬饼征伴突出(OR=5.159,95% CI=1.137~23.400)、多灶癌(OR=2.734,95% CI=1.215~6.154)、PTMC长径≥6 mm(OR=3.259,95% CI=1.326~8.008)、男性(OR=3.776,95% CI=1.339~10.653)、年龄<45岁(OR=3.222,95% CI=1.419~7.777)是PTMC CLNM的独立危险因素;ROC曲线得出,约登指数=0.502时,诊断CLNM的敏感性、特异性分别为82.5%和68.0%。结论:二元Logistic回归模型有助于预测PTMC CLNM;咬饼征伴突出、PTMC≥6 mm、男性、年龄<45岁是PTMC CLNM的独立危险因素。对于上述类型患者,外科医师可考虑中央区淋巴结清扫。

     

    Abstract: Objective: To determine the value of CT in predicting CLNM in PTMC. Methods: 157 patients with PTMC confirmed by pathology in our hospital were enrolled, and the CT and clinicopathological data of the patients were retrospectively analyzed. ROC curve was used to determine the optimal cutoff value of PTMC greatest diameter for CLNM. The binary logistic regression model of PTMC CLNM was established based on CT and clinical pathological data, and the diagnostic value of the model was evaluated by ROC curve. Results: According to the ROC curve, the optimal cutoff value for predicting PTMC CLNM was 6 mm. Univariate analysis: Cookie bite sign , microcalcification, multifocality, PTMC greastest diameter ≥6 mm, male, Age<45 were risk factors for PTMC CLNM. Binary Logistic regression analysis: Cookie bite sign with protruding (OR=5.159, 95% CI=1.137 ~ 23.400), multifocality (OR=2.734, 95% CI=1.215 ~ 6.154), PTMC greastest diameter ≥6 mm (OR=3.259, 95% CI=1.326 ~ 8.008), male (OR=3.776, 95% CI=1.339 ~ 10.653), age <45 (OR=3.222, 95% CI=1.419 ~ 7.777), were independent risk factors for PTMC CLNM. According to the ROC curve, when the Youden index=0.502, the sensitivity and specificity in predicting CLNM were 82.5% and 68.0%, respectively. Conclusion: The binary logistic regression model is helpful in predicting PTMC CLNM. Cookie bite sign with protruding, PTMC greastest diameter≥6 mm, male, and age<45 were independent risk factors for PTMC CLNM. For this type of patients, we suggest that surgeons should consider central lymph node dissection.

     

/

返回文章
返回