ISSN 1004-4140
    CN 11-3017/P

    CT的放射组学列线图在预测胃癌分期中的应用

    Applying Ct-Based Radiomics Nomogram For Predicting Gastric Cancer Staging

    • 摘要: 目的:建立基于计算机断层扫描(CT)的放射组学列线图,验证其在术前预测胃癌临床肿瘤、淋巴结和转移(TNM)分期中的效能。方法:选择2019年1月到2020年12月在邵逸夫医院住院的胃癌患者150例和在南浔区人民医院住院的27例胃癌患者,共计177例,其中男性120例,女性57例,平均年龄(66.43±11.03)岁。将150例在邵逸夫医院的患者随机分为两组,即训练组104例和内部验证组46例;以南浔区人民医院胃癌患者作为外部验证组27例。从胃癌病变的CT图像中提取放射组学特征,采用最小绝对收缩和选择算子选择放射组学特征,采用多元逻辑回归方法建立了一个包含放射组学特征和临床风险因素的融合预测模型,并将其可视化为放射组学列线图。在训练组、内部验证组和外部验证组中,根据曲线下面积(AUC)评价放射组学列线图的预测效能。结果:在训练组中,CA199(P=0.04)、门脉期CT值(P=0.005)、平衡期CT值(P=0.007)中差异均有统计学意义(P < 0.05)。从850个放射组学特征中筛选出4个放射组学特征,通过多元逻辑回归分析,建立了基于放射组学特征与CA199、门脉期CT值、平衡期CT值的组合模型,可视化为一个放射组学列线图。在训练组、内部验证组和外部验证组中,放射组学列线图AUC分别为0.813、0.746、0.773,显示其对胃癌临床TNM分期表现出较好的鉴别性能。结论:建立并验证了放射组学列线图,在术前胃癌临床TNM分期预测方面具有良好的效果。

       

      Abstract: Objective: The aim was to establish a computed tomography (CT)-based radiomic nomogram and evaluate its efficacy in preoperatively predicting the clinical tumor, lymph node, and metastasis (TNM) staging of gastric cancer. Methods: A total of 177 patients with gastric cancer, including 150 and 27 from the Sir Run Shaw and Nanxun People's Hospitals, respectively, were enrolled between January 2019 and December 2020. The cohort consisted of 120 men and 57 women, with a mean age of 66.43±11.03 years. A total of 104 and 46 of the 150 patients at Sir Run Run Shaw Hospital were randomly assigned to the training and internal validation groups, respectively. The 27 patients from Nanxun People’s Hospital were included in the external validation group. Radiomic features were extracted from the CT images of gastric cancer lesions; features were selected using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) method. A fusion prediction model was established that incorporated radiomic features and clinical risk factors using multivariate logistic regression. The results were visualized as a radiomic nomogram. The diagnostic efficiency of the resulting nomogram was evaluated for the training, internal validation, and external validation groups based on the area under the curve (AUC). Results: The CA199 (P=0.04), portal-venous-phase CT values (P=0.005), and equilibrium-phase CT values (P=0.007) significantly differed between the training and other groups. Four radiomics features were selected from 850 candidates. A combined model was developed based on radiomics features, CA199, portal-venous-phase CT values, and equilibrium-phase CT values using multiple logistic regression. The radiomic nomogram was evaluated on the training, internal validation, and external validation groups, achieving AUC values of 0.813, 0.746, and 0.773, respectively. These results demonstrate the ability of the model to accurately discriminate the clinical TNM staging of gastric cancer. Conclusion: A radiomics nomogram for preoperatively predicting the clinical TNM staging in gastric cancer was established and validated.

       

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