ISSN 1004-4140
CN 11-3017/P

胃癌与转移性淋巴结基线CT影像组学及临床特征预测术后早期淋巴结复发的模型研究

Models Developed Based on Baseline Gastric Cancer and Metastatic Lymph Node CT Radiomics and Clinical Features for Predicting Early Postoperative Lymph Node Recurrence

  • 摘要: 目的:基于原发肿瘤及转移性淋巴结的基线CT影像组学及临床特征构建胃癌根治术后淋巴结早期复发的预测模型,并对比其预测效能。方法:回顾性收集来自中心1和2的确诊为胃癌伴淋巴结转移并接受根治术的连续性200例患者的基线CT及临床资料,将医疗中心1的病例按7∶3随机分配到训练组(n=110)和内部验证组(n=48),将医疗中心2纳入的病例分配到外部验证组(n=42)。对原发肿瘤、转移性淋巴结,分别在CT图像上勾画感兴趣区,并提取其相应特征。采用独立样本t检验或U检验,筛选出具有统计学意义的影像组学特征及临床病理特征,并通过Lasso回归分析获取建模的核心特征,再分别构建影像学模型、临床特征模型以及影像组学-临床特征联合模型。采用受试者工作特征曲线下面积(AUC)、敏感性、特异性、DeLong检验及校准曲线评价模型的预测效能。结果:本研究筛选出原发肿瘤影像组学特征14个,转移性淋巴结影像组学特征12个、临床特征3个。临床特征包括转移性淋巴结数目、淋巴结形态及肿瘤标志物。基于原发肿瘤建立的影像组学模型AUC、敏感性、特异性在训练组分别为0.844、0.868和0.706,在内部验证组分别为0.802、0.879和0.600,在外部验证组分别为0.791、0.714和0.786。基于转移淋巴结建立的影像组学模型AUC、敏感性、特异性在训练组分别为0.898、0.753和0.941,在内部验证组分别为0.842、0.879和0.667,在外部验证组分别为0.825、0.828和0.769。在训练组、内部验证组、外部验证组,DeLong检验显示,原发肿瘤影像组学-临床特征联合模型AUC分别为0.970、0.961和0.976,转移淋巴结影像组学-临床特征联合模型AUC分别为0.943、0.957和0.977,在训练组、内部验证组及外部验证组在原发肿瘤影像组学模型、转移性淋巴结影像组学模型、临床模型以及原发肿瘤、转移性淋巴结影像组学分别与临床的联合模型的AUC之间,差异均具有统计学意义。结论:基线转移性淋巴结CT影像组学模型在预测胃癌根治术后淋巴结早期复发方面的效能优于原发肿瘤模型。

     

    Abstract: Objective: To develop models based on baseline clinical and computed tomography (CT) radiomic features of primary tumors and metastatic lymph nodes to predict early lymph node recurrence after radical gastrectomy in patients with gastric cancer. Methods: The preoperative computed tomography (CT) and clinical data of 200 consecutive patients diagnosed with gastric cancer and lymph node metastasis who underwent radical surgery at Medical Centers 1 and 2 were collected retrospectively. Cases from Medical Center 1 were randomly assigned to a training group (n = 110) and an internal validation group (n=48) in a 7:3 ratio. Cases from Medical Center 2 were assigned to an external validation group (n = 42). The regions of interest of the primary tumors and metastatic lymph nodes were marked on the CT images, and their corresponding features were extracted. Using an independent sample t-test or U-test, statistically significant radiomics and clinical features were selected. LASSO regression analysis was used to obtain the core features of the primary tumors and metastatic lymph nodes. Subsequently, a clinical model, radiomic models of the primary tumors and metastatic lymph nodes, and radiomic models for the primary tumors and metastatic lymph nodes individually combined with clinical features were constructed. The predictive performance of the models was evaluated and compared using the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, sensitivity, specificity, DeLong’s test, and calibration curve. Results: Fourteen radiomic features of the primary tumor, 12 radiomic features of metastatic lymph nodes, and three clinical features were selected to construct individual prediction models. The clinical features included the number of metastatic lymph nodes, lymph node morphology, and tumor markers. The AUC, sensitivity, and specificity of the radiomics model established based on the primary tumor were 0.844, 0.868, and 0.706 in the training group; 0.802, 0.879, and 0.600 in the internal validation group; and 0.791, 0.714, and 0.786 in the external validation group, respectively. The AUC, sensitivity, and specificity of the radiomics model based on metastatic lymph nodes were 0.898, 0.753, and 0.941 in the training group, 0.842, 0.879, and 0.667 in the internal validation group, and 0.825, 0.828, and 0.769 in the external validation group, respectively. In the training, internal validation, and external validation groups, the DeLong test showed that the AUC values of the combined model integrating primary tumor radiomic features and clinical features were 0.970, 0.961, and 0.976, respectively. The AUC values of the combined model integrating metastatic lymph node radiomic features and clinical features were 0.943, 0.957, and 0.977, respectively. In the training, internal validation, and external validation groups, there were significant differences in the AUC between the primary tumor radiomics model, metastatic lymph node radiomics model, clinical model, and the combined models by integrating the primary tumor radiomics features or the metastatic lymph node radiomics features with clinical features (P < 0.05). Conclusion: The preoperative metastatic lymph node CT radiomics model was more effective than the primary tumor radiomics model in predicting early lymph node recurrence after radical gastrectomy for gastric cancer.

     

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